Second Quarter 2008 Articles

Toyota and General Motors: Market-Share Leadership vs. Sustainability »

The Transforming Value of "Closed Loop" Commercial Management »

Sub-Prime: What's Happening? »

H.R.6. ENR - Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007: Opportunities for the Automotive Sector in Title I and II »

automotive forecasts

CSM Worldwide invites you to view a high-level, forward-looking snapshot from this quarter's global vehicle production summaries.

CSM Forecasts:

By Region & Manufacturer »
By Region & Country »

CSM automotive production barometer

15 April 2008 »

"Magna Electronics is forever changing to meet the challenges of our industry and we do this effectively by relying on CSM's accurate market data and analysis."

— Magna Electronics

"CSM has provided us with so much more than a vehicle forecast. Its product line forecasts are the most thorough on the market and always tie right into the vehicle forecast so all of our reports are consistent. After experiencing what other providers have to offer, without a doubt, CSM offers the best full-service package in the industry."

— Takata

"We find CSM's in-depth knowledge and long-term forecast of Global Light Vehicle markets and OEMs most helpful in our efforts to identify opportunities for future growth and diversification."

— BorgWarner

automotive forecasting services

CSM Worldwide provides trusted automotive market forecasting services to the world's top auto manufacturers and suppliers.

Our premium global forecasts are powered by global, regional and market-level economic, sales, production, manufacturing and capacity data, and OEM strategies. Additional benefits include CSM Insights quarterly newsletter, CSM Insider Series Client Briefings, training and unlimited analyst support.

Vehicle Production Forecasts

CSM Worldwide's Vehicle Production Forecast Services have become the industry standard for automotive forecasting and analysis, providing comprehensive and accurate future model cycle plans and forecast volumes. Our global forecast is driven by detailed regional economic and sales analysis that offers a clear understanding of consumer dynamics and trends. CSM Worldwide exhaustively examines all facets of the vehicle manufacturing environment. This includes competitive positioning, manufacturing strategies, consumer and demographic trends, export potential and global product interaction. Production Forecast Overview »
CSM AutoBase demo »

Vehicle Sales Forecasts

CSM Worldwide's Vehicle Sales Forecast Services are built on a thorough examination of the automotive industry from a demand perspective. Vehicle-level sales volumes are formulated from a disciplined forecasting methodology consisting of analyst knowledge, macro econometrics and statistical analysis, as well as the examination of segment trends, brand strategies, model lifecycle stages, consumer lifestyles and behaviors, and the most accurate vehicle intelligence in the business. Our rigorous reconciliation process links sales to production for data integrity assurance and is exclusive to CSM. Sales Forecast Overview »

Powertrain Forecasts

CSM Worldwide's Powertrain Forecast Services have been designed to cater to the needs of powertrain planners and engine component suppliers. Each forecast provides detailed analysis by engine platform with an emphasis on product features and new technologies. It exhaustively examines regional, segmental, vehicle, engine and transmission demand against detailed market intelligence to ensure forecast reliability and accuracy. Powertrain Forecast Overview »
CSM AutoBase Demo »

Supply Chain & Technology Forecasts

CSM Worldwide's Supply Chain & Technology Forecasts are the most comprehensive, detailed source of information available on the OEM supply chain industry. CSM maintains up to 60 component forecasts covering all major systems, modules and discrete components. Each regional component forecast identifies vehicle Design Parent, Manufacturer, Segment, Platform, Program, Nameplate, SOP, EOP, the Component/System supplier(s), key technology attributes, and installation volumes. The forecast reports current, as well as future, supply contracts over a seven-year time frame. Beyond the vehicle line data, the reports also provide OEM, supplier, and technology market share summaries, average OE unit pricing, and qualitative analysis describing developments and trends for individual components or systems. Supply Chain & Technology Forecast Overview »
Complete Component Listing »
CSM AutoBase Demo »

For a low-cost alternative to CSM Worldwide's premium light vehicle production forecasts, CSM now offers Market Level Forecast Services. No analyst support is provided with this service.

Online Store for Market Level Forecasts

strategic advisory solutions

When the challenges of the auto industry require you to look beyond forecasting services, CSM brings its portfolio of advisory services and solutions to your planning table.

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supplier

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CSM utilizes syndicated forecasts along with competitive intelligence to develop custom solutions for OEMs including:

White Space Assessment

CSM has developed a methodology which allows an OEM to identify product openings/gaps in their product portfolio by identifying and selecting markets that will be underexposed to competition.

Top Technologies Analysis

CSM can help you increase your awareness of emerging technologies so you can be prepared for any technology shifts that can affect your business. CSM will provide you with a global and regional 10-year demand forecast by OEM and segment, a report on the implications of disruptive technology, vehicle entry identification, supplier identification and a regional assessment by OEM.

LCC Sourcing/Supplier Selection

CSM can help you identify and pre-qualify suppliers in Low Cost Countries (LCC). CSM's screening process allows you to focus your resources on the high potential suppliers that are strategically aligned to your unique commodity strategies.

Cost Reduction Benchmark Analysis

CSM assesses industry best practices in order to provide dramatic cost-saving opportunities to procurement organizations. Each "benchmark" analysis is designed to provide tangible cost savings exceeding $20 million.

Future Vehicle Assessment

By using CSM's vehicle sales, vehicle production, powertrain and supply chain & technology forecasts our analysts can help you assess what your competition is planning for next generation product(s). We can tailor Vehicle Assessments for specific vehicles, platforms and/or entire market segments.

Wading through all the factors that influence success can be daunting. CSM Worldwide responds by developing custom solutions for automotive suppliers such as:

Market Power Play

CSM can identify whether you are in a position of leverage or weakness. With our proprietary CSM indexing tools we can help you create an offensive power play that will optimize your performance in the marketplace.

Top Technologies Analysis

Capacity Optimization

Running at optimum capacity is essential for financial success. CSM's tools and forecasts help you analyze and optimize the utilization of your current fixed assets over a five-year horizon and prepare for future investment. Coupled with your current and anticipated business portfolio, CSM's forecasts and tools provide visibility at the plant floor level.

Resource Deployment

Before a supplier can pursue a new project opportunity, they must understand the global resource implications of the project. CSM has developed a process to help you identify tactical business targets, perform gap analysis, identify the best method for filling gaps or choose other alternatives.

LCC Sourcing/Supplier Selection

Opportunity Targeting

By using CSM's vehicle and component forecasts, we have created a disciplined process to prioritize and attack new business opportunities in the marketplace.

Future Vehicle Pursuits

CSM can provide an in-depth look at the competitive landscape and analyze what the OEM is trying to accomplish with a particular next-generation vehicle. CSM will then help you tailor your sales effort for this specific vehicle pursuit opportunity.

Supplier Assessment

CSM can provide an in-depth assessment of automotive suppliers for competitive benchmarking and profiling activities, as well as potential merger and acquisition, and/or strategic alliance purposes. The assessments focus on the supplier's strategies, capabilities and market position within the industry.

Long-Term Cost Planning

Suppliers have tremendous difficulty formulating a specific cost forecast beyond a 12-month period. Yet some of the most important strategic decisions necessitate having a detailed long-term cost forecast. CSM can build a dynamic five-year and 12-month-rolling detailed cost forecast.

Financial Dashboarding

Suppliers can operate only as effectively as they can measure cost and margin performance. CSM can advise on and enable reporting of long-term financial metrics that drive a healthy enterprise.

CSM Worldwide supports the investment and banking community with manufacturer and supplier assessment solutions that include:

Red Light/Green Light Analysis

CSM can provide analysis to lenders, investors and other parties with interest in identifying the strengths and weaknesses of an auto supplier's book of business. This analysis can be provided with a quick turnaround to make timely decisions.

Due Diligence Validation

Potential buyers and sellers of and lenders to auto suppliers will find CSM's Due Diligence Validation a credible third-party review of a company's book of business. We will also analyze their industry outlook for relevant component trends, manufacturing processes, long-term customer viability and competitive pressures.

Strategic Business Assessment

A Strategic Business Assessment is designed to evaluate a supplier's prospects by reviewing and evaluating the company's book of business, relevant component trends, manufacturing processes, long-term customer viability, and competitive pressures outside the context of a sale, acquisition or new financing.

Business Portfolio Evaluation

CSM can provide in-depth analysis of a company's book of business beyond identifying strengths and weaknesses. This analysis provides insights for volume variances and generates leading questions to ask of the company's management. In addition, other CSM software solutions provide the ability to complete a more detailed study of a company's book of business and allow for continuous monitoring and tracking.

Customer Strategy Analysis

Given that the health and success of auto suppliers is dependent upon their customers, CSM offers a complete analysis of selected customers aimed at evaluating their market position, the long-term viability of their products and processes, and the potential for failure. Customer Strategy Analysis can be linked with Market Targeting to proactively seek out profitable new-business opportunities.

Supplier Deep Dive

CSM can perform an extensive analysis of a supplier covering a significant number of their vehicle programs with the objective of quantifying risk exposure and revenue forecasts. This analysis provides a window into a supplier's future exposure to revenue volatility and changes in customer concentration.

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"CSM has been very responsive to our needs, and their production and sales forecasts have been very accurate. We truly value the working relationship we have with CSM, which goes well beyond just receiving a sales or production forecast."

— Toyota

"I find that of all the other services, CSM's information is the most current and accurate. It is comforting to know that they have people all over the globe who understand that the integrity of the information is paramount."

— Johnson Controls

"CSM Worldwide turned our four- month business planning process into a two-week process with more accurate results. We now make decisions in real time."

— Lydall, Inc.

"Teleflex Global Marketing relies on CSM Worldwide's vehicle platform and powertrain data as a 'secondary reality check' as we build our sales forecasts. Additionally, the economic indicators given during the CSM soirees help form a frame of reference for our 'living' strategic plan."

— Teleflex

"CSM's broad range of experienced professionals has been a significant benefit to our organization from fundamental forecasting to complex strategic product issues. Their knowledge of OEM's has also provided additional insight for our new product development process."

— IEE Sensing, Inc.